回答这个问题靠数据说话更靠谱些。通过中国银保监会网站、银保监会《中国银行业运行报告》、2014-2018年度、2019第二季度银保监会《银行业金融机构资产负债情况表》、中国银行业协会发布的《中国银行业发展报告(2019)》 、《毕马威2019年中国银行业调查报告 》摘出一些数据,供大家参考。
结论1:中国银行业总资产、总负债规模仍保持强劲的增长趋势。
根据银保监会披露的信息,2019年二季度末,商业银行总资产为人民币225.2 万亿元,较2018年末增长人民币15.2万亿元,增长7.24%,总负债为人民币207.5万亿元,较2018年末增长人民币14万亿元,增长7.24%;商业银行2018年末总资产为人民币210.0万亿元,较2017年末增长人民币13.2万亿元,同比增长6.7%,增幅较2017年降低1.6个百分点;总负债为人民币193.5万亿元,较2017年末增长人民币11.4万亿元,同比增长6.28%,增幅较2017年降低1.72个百分点。
结论2:盈利增长,但增速明显下滑,2019年重新抬头
2018 年度,商业银行全年累计实现净利润约人民币1.8万亿元,比2017年增加人民币 825 亿元,同比增长 4.7%,增速下降 1.3 个百分点。 2019 年一季度,商业银行累计实现净利润人民币 0.6 万亿元,同比增长 6.1%;商 业银行平均资产利润率为 1.02%,较上年末上升 0.12 个百分点;商业银行平均资。本利润率为 13.2%,较上年末上升了 1.50 个百分点。
结论3:信用风险形势整体稳中向好,信贷资产质量稳步改善
2018 年末,商业银行资产组合中各项贷款余额为人民币 110.50 万亿元,较 2017 年末增加人民币 12.7 万亿元, 同比增长 13.0%。
2019 年一季度末,商业银行资产 组合中各项贷款余额为人民币 119.99 万亿元,较 2018 年末增加人民币 9.49 万亿元, 同比增长 8.6%。
与此同时,2018 年末商业银行贷款拨备率为 3.41%,拨备覆盖率为 186.3%, 相比 2017 年均有所上升。于 2019 年一季度末,商业银行贷款拨备率为 3.45%,拨备覆 盖率为 192.2%,整体风险相对平稳可控。
在强监管,求改变的大氛围下,银行业稳健发展。在金融改革不断深化的过程中,银行业所面临的不仅是要打破原有格局的深刻变革,更要适应中国经济高质量发展的需求,尤其是在财富管理和市场经济转型方面,竞争加剧,改革增速,未来可期。
It is more reliable to answer this question with data. Through the website of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Banking Industry Operation Report of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the Banking Financial Institutions Asset and Liability Statement of the China Banking Regulatory Commission from 2014 to 2018 and the second quarter of 2019, the China Banking Industry Development Report (2019) issued by the China Banking Association, and the KPMG China Banking Industry Survey Report 2019, some data are extracted for your reference.
Conclusion 1: The total assets and total liabilities of China's banking industry still maintain a strong growth trend.
According to information disclosed by the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, at the end of the second quarter of 2019, total assets of commercial banks were RMB 225.2 trillion, an increase of RMB 15.2 trillion, or 7.24%, from the end of 2018; total liabilities were RMB 207.5 trillion, an increase of RMB 14 trillion, or 7.24%, from the end of 2018; total assets of commercial banks at the end of 2018 were RMB 210.0 trillion, an increase of RMB 13.2 trillion from the end of 2017, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from 2017; total liabilities were RMB 193.5 trillion, an increase of RMB 11.4 trillion from the end of 2017, a year-on-year increase of 6.28%, a decrease of 1.72 percentage points from 2017.
Conclusion 2: Profits increased, but the growth rate declined significantly, and it rose again in 2019
In 2018, commercial banks achieved a total net profit of about RMB 1.8 trillion, an increase of RMB 82.5 billion over 2017, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, and a growth rate of 1.3 percentage points. In the first quarter of 2019, commercial banks achieved a total net profit of RMB 0.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%; the average return on assets of commercial banks was 1.02%, an increase of 0.12 percentage points from the end of the previous year; the average return on capital of commercial banks was 13.2%, an increase of 1.50 percentage points from the end of the previous year.
Conclusion 3: The overall credit risk situation is stable and improving, and the quality of credit assets is steadily improving
At the end of 2018, the balance of various loans in the asset portfolio of commercial banks was RMB 110.50 trillion, an increase of RMB 12.7 trillion from the end of 2017, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%.
At the end of the first quarter of 2019, the balance of various loans in the commercial banks' asset portfolio was RMB 119.99 trillion, an increase of RMB 9.49 trillion from the end of 2018, a year-on-year increase of 8.6%.
At the same time, at the end of 2018, the loan provision ratio of commercial banks was 3.41%, and the provision coverage ratio was 186.3%, both of which increased compared with 2017. At the end of the first quarter of 2019, the loan provision ratio of commercial banks was 3.45%, and the provision coverage ratio was 192.2%, and the overall risk was relatively stable and controllable.
In the atmosphere of strong supervision and seeking change, the banking industry has developed steadily. In the process of deepening financial reform, the banking industry is not only facing the profound changes to break the original pattern, but also adapting to the needs of China's high-quality economic development, especially in wealth management and market economy transformation. Competition is intensifying and the reform is accelerating, and the future is promising.